Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs Murilo Bustamante

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record15-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Murilo BustamanteNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
69%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
24%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
2.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyMurilo Bustamante
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
4 (57%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey66%
Murilo Bustamante 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 66% favorite over Murilo Bustamante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Bustamante 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.