Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs Nissen Osterneck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Nissen OsterneckNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
69%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
24%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0.63
0%
Takedown accuracy
13%
0%
Takedown defense
43%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyNissen Osterneck
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (57%)
Submission
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey66%
Nissen Osterneck 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 66% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.