Jackson McVey vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jackson McVeyPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey66%
Phil Hawes 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 66% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Hawes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Jackson McVey and Phil Hawes share 1 common opponent: Brunno Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.