Jackson McVey vs Vitor Vianna
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach67"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamWand Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jackson McVeyVitor Vianna
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey70%
Vitor Vianna 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 70% favorite over Vitor Vianna in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vitor Vianna's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.
Vitor Vianna enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Vianna 75%.
Jackson McVey carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.