Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record10-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jacqueline Cavalcanti is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mayra Bueno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jacqueline CavalcantiNow 1671
If they win+13→ 1684
If they lose-19→ 1652
Mayra Bueno SilvaNow 1604
If they win+19→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
47%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
69%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
24%
88%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Jacqueline CavalcantiMayra Bueno Silva
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (70%)
7 (70%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacqueline Cavalcanti71%
Mayra Bueno Silva 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacqueline Cavalcanti a 71% favorite over Mayra Bueno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jacqueline Cavalcanti holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1604, a 67-point edge.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Mayra Bueno Silva 80%.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.