Jafel Filho vs Paris Moran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamGracie Barra Katy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jafel FilhoParis Moran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jafel Filho and Paris Moran within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.
Paris Moran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jafel Filho finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Paris Moran 43%.
Jafel Filho and Paris Moran share 1 common opponent: Roybert Echeverria.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.