Combat Edge Intelligence

Jai Herbert vs Sidney Outlaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jai Herbert

Jai Herbert

“The Black Country Banger”

14-6-1LightweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
77"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jai HerbertNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Sidney OutlawNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
0.13
41%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
53%
Strike defense
71%
0.43
Takedown avg.
3
21%
Takedown accuracy
75%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Jai HerbertSidney Outlaw
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
1 (7%)
Submission
8 (47%)
3 (21%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Jai Herbert58%
Sidney Outlaw 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 58% favorite over Sidney Outlaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.

Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.