Jake Collier vs Juan Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
78"Reach80,0"
257 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pit MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierJuan Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Adams66%
Jake Collier 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Adams a 66% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1556), separated by just 8 points.
Juan Adams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Juan Adams 100%.
Juan Adams carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.