Jake Collier vs Oli Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record22-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"ReachTBD
257 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pit MMATeamZT Fight Skool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierOli Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Collier53%
Oli Thompson 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Collier a 53% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1541), separated by just 7 points.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Oli Thompson 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.