Jake Collier vs Łukasz Brzeski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
78"Reach78"
257 lbsWeight236 lbs
Pit MMATeamNKSW Holy Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1563
If they lose-17→ 1531
If they win+17→ 1552
If they lose-15→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierŁukasz Brzeski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Łukasz Brzeski60%
Jake Collier 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 60% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Collier's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1535), separated by just 13 points.
Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.
Jake Collier and Łukasz Brzeski share 1 common opponent: Martin Buday.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.