Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake O'Brien vs Oumar Sy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oumar Sy
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Oumar Sy

12-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake O'BrienNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Oumar SyNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
32%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.72
69%
Strike defense
70%
6.44
Takedown avg.
2.73
57%
Takedown accuracy
37%
25%
Takedown defense
100%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Jake O'BrienOumar Sy
165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (33%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Oumar Sy70%
Jake O'Brien 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Oumar Sy a 70% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1697), separated by just 5 points.

Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jake O'Brien finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Oumar Sy 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.