Jamie Mullarkey vs Joe Giannetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
74"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamSouth Shore Sportfighting
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MullarkeyJoe Giannetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamie Mullarkey56%
Joe Giannetti 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 56% favorite over Joe Giannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Giannetti enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.