Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record49-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach37,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.54
Takedown avg.
2.45
4%
Takedown accuracy
55%
65%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Jared CannonierJoe Riggs
17001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
2 (11%)
Submission
7 (15%)
5 (28%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Cannonier61%
Joe Riggs 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 61% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1704), separated by just 3 points.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.