Jared Cannonier vs Michał Oleksiejczuk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierMichał Oleksiejczuk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michał Oleksiejczuk71%
Jared Cannonier 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 71% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Cannonier's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.
Jared Cannonier and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Caio Borralho.
Jared Cannonier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.