Jared Vanderaa vs Matt Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
80"Reach74"
259 lbsWeight263 lbs
Team QuestTeamRaw MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaMatt Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Adams62%
Jared Vanderaa 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 62% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Vanderaa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.
Jared Vanderaa carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.