Jason Black vs Tommy Gantt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-4-1Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach76"
169 lbsWeight155 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamJaw Breaker Boxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason BlackTommy Gantt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy Gantt70%
Jason Black 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Gantt a 70% favorite over Jason Black in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1720), separated by just 2 points.
Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jason Black finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.