Jesse Forbes vs Yousri Belgaroui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach79"
184 lbsWeight190 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse ForbesYousri Belgaroui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yousri Belgaroui70%
Jesse Forbes 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yousri Belgaroui a 70% favorite over Jesse Forbes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Forbes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1645), separated by just 2 points.
Jesse Forbes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jesse Forbes finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.