Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs Tommy Gantt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-1Record12-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamJaw Breaker Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesus PinedoNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Tommy GanttNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
1.08
38%
Strike accuracy
100%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.36
53%
Strike defense
67%
2.50
Takedown avg.
10.78
100%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
5.39

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoTommy Gantt
16001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (16%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Tommy Gantt51%
Jesus Pinedo 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Gantt a 51% favorite over Jesus Pinedo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesus Pinedo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.

Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.

Tommy Gantt carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.