Joaquim Silva vs Thibault Gouti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach41,5"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joaquim SilvaThibault Gouti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquim Silva66%
Thibault Gouti 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 66% favorite over Thibault Gouti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thibault Gouti's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Thibault Gouti 76%.
Joaquim Silva and Thibault Gouti share 1 common opponent: Nasrat Haqparast.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.