Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Cason vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
223 lbsWeight266 lbs
TBDTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe CasonNow 1602
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
69%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe CasonLouie Sutherland
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland62%
Joe Cason 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 62% favorite over Joe Cason in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.

Joe Cason finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.