Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Walker vs Kazuhiro Nakamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record21-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height5'11"
82"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight185 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamYoshida Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Kazuhiro NakamuraNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
1.05
55%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
23.80
46%
Strike defense
59%
0.36
Takedown avg.
1.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
57%
Takedown defense
43%
0.73
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Johnny WalkerKazuhiro Nakamura
165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
3 (14%)
Submission
3 (14%)
2 (9%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Walker70%
Kazuhiro Nakamura 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 70% favorite over Kazuhiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1635), separated by just 6 points.

Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Kazuhiro Nakamura 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.