Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Meunier vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar QuebecTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MeunierNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
51%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
70%
Strike defense
58%
0.58
Takedown avg.
1.07
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
59%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Jonathan MeunierTrevin Giles
16501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (22%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Meunier55%
Trevin Giles 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Meunier a 55% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevin Giles's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Meunier finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.