Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Micallef vs Mike Swick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Swick
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Mike Swick

“Quick”

15-6-0WelterweightUFC

1698Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Combat 1 MMATeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MicallefNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Mike SwickNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.13
Takedown avg.
1.06
67%
Takedown accuracy
50%
75%
Takedown defense
62%
1.13
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Jonathan MicallefMike Swick
160016501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef70%
Mike Swick 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 70% favorite over Mike Swick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Swick's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.