Jora Ayvazyan vs Michael Chandler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jora AyvazyanMichael Chandler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jora Ayvazyan61%
Michael Chandler 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jora Ayvazyan a 61% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Chandler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1732), separated by just 1 points.
Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jora Ayvazyan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.