Combat Edge Intelligence

Jora Ayvazyan vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

27-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jora AyvazyanNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
RongzhuNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
63%
TBD
Takedown defense
84%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Jora AyvazyanRongzhu
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
1 (6%)
Submission
6 (23%)
7 (41%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Jora Ayvazyan51%
Rongzhu 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jora Ayvazyan a 51% favorite over Rongzhu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rongzhu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1734), separated by just 3 points.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jora Ayvazyan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.

Rongzhu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.