Jordan Espinosa vs Mark De La Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
Mark De La Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jordan Espinosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1585
If they lose-11→ 1561
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-18→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan EspinosaMark De La Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark De La Rosa72%
Jordan Espinosa 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark De La Rosa a 72% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mark De La Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1572, a 43-point edge.
Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jordan Espinosa finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mark De La Rosa 64%.
Jordan Espinosa and Mark De La Rosa share 2 common opponents: Tim Elliott and Alex Perez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.