Jordan Zébo vs Marco Tulio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"Reach74"
173 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan ZéboMarco Tulio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio62%
Jordan Zébo 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 62% favorite over Jordan Zébo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1672), separated by just 3 points.
Jordan Zébo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Zébo finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.
Marco Tulio carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.