Joselyne Edwards vs Rin Nakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record27-2-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'1"
70"Reach36,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMATeamShooto Dojo Shikoku
What's at stake
Rin Nakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joselyne Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1694
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-14→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joselyne EdwardsRin Nakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joselyne Edwards66%
Rin Nakai 34%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Joselyne Edwards a 66% favorite over Rin Nakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rin Nakai's way (42%).
Rin Nakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1707, a 58-point edge.
Joselyne Edwards enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Rin Nakai enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rin Nakai 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.