Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Culibao vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Igor MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
60%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
66%
Takedown defense
72%
0.29
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Josh CulibaoNate Landwehr
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Landwehr60%
Josh Culibao 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 60% favorite over Josh Culibao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1640), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.