
Josh Emmett vs Márcio Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 57% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Emmett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.