Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Márcio Barbosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record18-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamEquipe RD Champions

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Márcio BarbosaNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
8.27
36%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.56
60%
Strike defense
51%
1.08
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
100%
0.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh EmmettMárcio Barbosa
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
15 (83%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
10 (53%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Márcio Barbosa57%
Josh Emmett 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 57% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Emmett's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.