Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach78″
266 lbsWeight247 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
48%
Strike accuracy
27%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
41%
Strike defense
42%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
46%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh ParisianRaphael Pessoa
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Parisian60%
Raphael Pessoa 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 60% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1566), separated by just 9 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.