Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin McCully vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-2Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
235 lbsWeight266 lbs
Team PunishmentTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin McCullyNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.58
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
38%
Strike accuracy
69%
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
47%
Strike defense
30%
1.28
Takedown avg.
4.95
44%
Takedown accuracy
43%
44%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin McCullyLouie Sutherland
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland63%
Justin McCully 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 63% favorite over Justin McCully in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1605), separated by just 6 points.

Justin McCully enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Justin McCully finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.