Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Wetzell vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin WetzellNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
16%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Justin WetzellLuis Gurule
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (58%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Justin Wetzell and Luis Gurule within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Wetzell finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Justin Wetzell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.