Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Wilcox vs Trevor Peek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Wilcox
us

Justin Wilcox

“The Silverback”

14-7-0LightweightBFC

1632Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach 70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAgoge Combatives

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin WilcoxNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Trevor PeekNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin WilcoxTrevor Peek
1550160016502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (71%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Peek59%
Justin Wilcox 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 59% favorite over Justin Wilcox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Wilcox finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.