Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Wren vs Tanner Boser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Justin Wren
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Justin Wren

“The Big Pygmy”

13-2-0HeavyweightBFC

1648Solid
Tanner Boser
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Tanner Boser

“The Bulldozer”

22-11-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1656Good

Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
265 lbsWeight203 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamShaved Bears MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin WrenNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Tanner BoserNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
11%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
64%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin WrenTanner Boser
165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (9%)
3 (23%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Tanner Boser63%
Justin Wren 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tanner Boser a 63% favorite over Justin Wren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1656), separated by just 8 points.

Justin Wren enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Justin Wren finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.