Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Asakura vs Marlon Vera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marlon Vera
ec

Marlon Vera

“Chito”

23-12-1BantamweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach 70"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Japan Top TeamTeamTeam Oyama

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kai AsakuraNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Marlon VeraNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
33%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.34
52%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
50%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Kai AsakuraMarlon Vera
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
3 (14%)
Submission
10 (43%)
5 (24%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Asakura59%
Marlon Vera 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Asakura a 59% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kai Asakura finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.