Kaik Brito vs Luan Chagas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Thai TeamTeamGile Ribeiro Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaik BritoLuan Chagas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaik Brito63%
Luan Chagas 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaik Brito a 63% favorite over Luan Chagas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.
Kaik Brito enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kaik Brito finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luan Chagas 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.