Combat Edge Intelligence

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Shanelle Dyer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record7-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karolina KowalkiewiczNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Shanelle DyerNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
7.71
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.72
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.31
Takedown avg.
0.70
23%
Takedown accuracy
8%
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karolina KowalkiewiczShanelle Dyer
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
3 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (75%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Shanelle Dyer71%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shanelle Dyer a 71% favorite over Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Shanelle Dyer 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.