Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Rockel vs Tresean Gore

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tresean Gore
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Tresean Gore

“Mr. Vicious”

6-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-1Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team EliteTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith RockelNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Tresean GoreNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
73%
Strike accuracy
50%
0.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7
67%
Strike defense
41%
4.63
Takedown avg.
1.91
75%
Takedown accuracy
18%
100%
Takedown defense
84%
4.63
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Keith RockelTresean Gore
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
6 (50%)
Submission
4 (67%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Tresean Gore53%
Keith Rockel 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tresean Gore a 53% favorite over Keith Rockel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Rockel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1598), separated by just 3 points.

Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keith Rockel finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tresean Gore 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.