Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Christian vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record12-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Cosme Junior TeamTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin ChristianNow 1559
If they win+23→ 1582
If they lose-25→ 1534
Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
57%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
44%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
20%
2.34
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Kevin ChristianMaurice Smith
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
5 (56%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Christian56%
Maurice Smith 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 56% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1545), separated by just 14 points.

Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Christian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.