Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiru Sahota vs Marco Beltran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record18-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach39,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiru SahotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Marco BeltranNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
57%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
42%
Strike defense
63%
1
Takedown avg.
0.70
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
46%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Kiru SahotaMarco Beltran
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
2 (17%)
Submission
10 (56%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiru Sahota60%
Marco Beltran 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiru Sahota a 60% favorite over Marco Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marco Beltran's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1614), separated by just 5 points.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Beltran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kiru Sahota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marco Beltran 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.