Kolton Englund vs Luis Pena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Renzo Gracie Lake HoustonTeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kolton EnglundLuis Pena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kolton Englund62%
Luis Pena 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kolton Englund a 62% favorite over Luis Pena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1634), separated by just 3 points.
Kolton Englund finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Luis Pena 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.