Combat Edge Intelligence

Kuniyoshi Hironaka vs Punahele Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-9-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach 72"
153 lbsWeight170 lbs
Master JapanTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kuniyoshi HironakaNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.66
44%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
55%
Strike defense
48%
2.60
Takedown avg.
1.83
32%
Takedown accuracy
48%
25%
Takedown defense
40%
0.97
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Kuniyoshi HironakaPunahele Soriano
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
8 (35%)
Submission
2 (15%)
8 (35%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano72%
Kuniyoshi Hironaka 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 72% favorite over Kuniyoshi Hironaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kuniyoshi Hironaka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1711), separated by just 0 points.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kuniyoshi Hironaka finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.