Combat Edge Intelligence

Kurtis Campbell vs Tom Pagliarulo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamNew England Cartel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kurtis CampbellNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Tom PagliaruloNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
78%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
22.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kurtis CampbellTom Pagliarulo
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Kurtis Campbell70%
Tom Pagliarulo 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kurtis Campbell a 70% favorite over Tom Pagliarulo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Tom Pagliarulo enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kurtis Campbell finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tom Pagliarulo 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.