Kyle Nelson vs Solomon Simon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-1Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
House of Champions MMATeamTeam Ryano Waterford
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+24→ 1692
If they lose-24→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NelsonSolomon Simon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Solomon Simon61%
Kyle Nelson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Solomon Simon a 61% favorite over Kyle Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Nelson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Kyle Nelson finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Solomon Simon 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.