Kēstin McClain vs Windri Patilima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roughhouse BoxingTeamTCW Fighting Camp
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kēstin McClainWindri Patilima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kēstin McClain66%
Windri Patilima 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kēstin McClain a 66% favorite over Windri Patilima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Windri Patilima's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Windri Patilima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kēstin McClain finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Windri Patilima 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.