Combat Edge Intelligence

Lance Gibson Jr. vs Vinc Pichel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vinc Pichel
us

Vinc Pichel

“From Hell”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lance Gibson Jr.Now 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Vinc PichelNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
54%
Strike defense
56%
2
Takedown avg.
2.78
67%
Takedown accuracy
54%
50%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Lance Gibson Jr.Vinc Pichel
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Gibson Jr.71%
Vinc Pichel 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Gibson Jr. a 71% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.

Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.