Combat Edge Intelligence

Lando Vannata vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-2Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Shaheen SantanaNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
55%
Strike defense
40%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Lando VannataShaheen Santana
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Submission
6 (75%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata60%
Shaheen Santana 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 60% favorite over Shaheen Santana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shaheen Santana's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1575), separated by just 4 points.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.