Combat Edge Intelligence

Lerryan Douglas vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Killer BeesTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lerryan DouglasNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11.67
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
88%
Strike accuracy
46%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
67%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Lerryan DouglasNate Landwehr
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (11%)
3 (21%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas55%
Nate Landwehr 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 55% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Landwehr's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1640), separated by just 2 points.

Lerryan Douglas enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lerryan Douglas finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Lerryan Douglas and Nate Landwehr share 1 common opponent: Julian Erosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2026
Julian Erosa
LossTKO · 2021