Combat Edge Intelligence

Lito Adiwang vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Lito Adiwang
ph

Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1654Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'8"
65.4"Reach 70"
134 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team LakayTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lito AdiwangNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Lito AdiwangNathan Fletcher
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (22%)
Submission
7 (64%)
4 (22%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lito Adiwang and Nathan Fletcher within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Lito Adiwang enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lito Adiwang finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Nathan Fletcher carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.